Win chance
| 1 | 8.21% | |
| 2 | 5.82% | |
| 3 | 5.27% | |
| 4 | 4.39% | |
| 5 | 2.93% | |
| 6 | 2.61% | |
| 7 | 2.61% | |
| 8 | 2.41% | |
| 9 | 1.89% | |
| 10 | 1.76% |
Model-based estimate from rider ratings and the stage profile.
| Date | Sunday 07 March |
| Start |  Saint-Cyr-l'École |
| Finish | Saint-Cyr-l'École |
| Distance | 166.0 km |
Win chance
| 1 | 8.21% | |
| 2 | 5.82% | |
| 3 | 5.27% | |
| 4 | 4.39% | |
| 5 | 2.93% | |
| 6 | 2.61% | |
| 7 | 2.61% | |
| 8 | 2.41% | |
| 9 | 1.89% | |
| 10 | 1.76% |
Model-based estimate from rider ratings and the stage profile.